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XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 24, Jan

The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair favors a bullish continuation, but the price is currently facing resistance around the $1,935 zone. The pair topped last week at $1,937.47. The metal needs to consolidate above $1,935.00 to open the door to an upward extension. Technical indicators in the mentioned time frame remain within overbought readings. The RSI is moving south, about to slide below 70. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) heads firmly north, far below the current level but above the longer ones at around $1,869.40.

For the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is slightly biased to the downside. The rebound from $1,910 took Gold back above the 20-SMA in the mentioned chart ($1,920) avoiding a deterioration in the technical outlook. If it drops back below it, attention would turn to $1,912, the last strong defence before the critical $1,900.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 20 Jan

The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair favors a bullish continuation. The pair topped in January at $1,928.93 a troy ounce, the level to surpass to confirm an upward extension.  Technical indicators in the mentioned time frame remain within overbought readings, posting modest advances and without signaling upward exhaustion. At the same time, the 20 Simple Moving Average  (SMA) heads firmly north, far below the current level but above the longer ones at around $1,857.10.

For the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk also skews to the upside. Technical indicators have extended their advances within positive levels with moderated bullish strength. Additionally, the pair is comfortably developing above a flat 20 SMA, although the longer ones maintain their upward slopes far below it.

Support levels: 1,906.40 1,896.50 1,884.60

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 19, Jan

The XAU/USD pair trades flat for the day, with no signs of giving up further ground. The daily chart shows that technical indicators corrected extreme overbought readings before turning flat well into positive territory without signaling more weakness ahead. At the same time, the 20 SMA heads north almost vertically, far below the current level while above the longer ones, reflecting buyers' strength.

The 4-hour chart suggests the pair could fall further in the near term. It was unable to sustain gains above a mildly bullish 20 SMA and is back below the indicator, although still far above a bullish 100 SMA, currently at around $1,858.15. Finally, technical indicators turned south and pierced their midlines, maintaining their firmly bearish slopes within neutral levels. A break below the daily low at $1,890.54 could see the current corrective decline extending towards the $1,850 region.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 18, Jan

The XAU/USD pair retains its bullish potential intact, despite the lack of follow-through from these last few days. The daily chart shows that technical indicators are barely correcting overbought conditions but without enough strength to suggest a continued slide. At the same time, the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) heads firmly north, well above the longer ones, which also gain upward traction.

Near-term buyers defend the downside at around $1,900, and the 4-hour chart shows absent selling interest. XAU/USD is repeatedly bouncing from a bullish 20 SMA, currently at around $1,908.90. The longer moving averages, in the meantime, keep advancing below the shorter one, reflecting buyers’ strength. Finally, the Momentum indicator eased towards its midline but remains above it, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has lost its directional strength and hovers around 60, maintaining the risk skewed to the upside.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 17, Jan

The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair shows that technical indicators are barely retreating from extreme overbought readings, far from confirming an interim top. In fact, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 72, somehow suggesting bulls are not willing to give up. At the same time, the pair is developing far above its moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) heading firmly north and providing dynamic support at around $1,840.40.

The 4-hour chart shows that bulls retain control of the pair. Technical indicators turned flat within positive levels after correcting extreme overbought readings, reflecting the absence of selling interest. At the same time, moving averages head firmly north, far below the current level, with the 20 SMA currently at around $1,899.70.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 13, Jan

The daily chart for the XAU/USD pair shows that it holds above the previous weekly high at $1,886.63, an immediate support level. The Momentum indicator resumed its advance within positive levels but remains below its weekly high, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) index grinds higher, currently advancing at around 70.  At the same time, the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) accelerated north well above the longer ones while below the current level, all of which hints at continued buying pressure.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the case for a bullish continuation is clear. A firmly bullish 20 SMA keeps leading the way higher by providing intraday support, currently at around $1,878.10. The longer moving averages also head higher, well below the shorter one. Finally, technical indicators resumed their advances within positive levels, ending the consolidative phase from the last few days.

Support levels: 1,878.10 1,867.05 1,856.90

Resistance levels: 1,901.70 1,914.20 1,926.00

Technical Outlook XAU/USD – 11, Jan

XAU/USD holds on to its recent gains, hovering around its opening level. The daily chart shows that the price is developing far above its moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) heading firmly north above the longer ones. Technical indicators, in the meantime, extend their consolidative phase near overbought levels, reflecting the absence of selling interest while maintaining the risk skewed to the upside.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, chances of a steeper decline seem limited. The pair is moving back and forth in a tight $20 range. Technical indicators turned marginally lower but hold near overbought readings, reflecting decreasing buying interest rather than suggesting fresh selling. At the same time, XAU/USD holds far above bullish moving averages, with the 20 SMA providing dynamic support at around $1,860.50.

Support levels: 1,860.50 1,843.10 1,825.00 

Resistance levels: 1,883.50 1,897.45 1,910.00

XAU/USD Technical Outlook 0

Gold price grinds near a multi-day high after crossing an upward-sloping resistance line from early October 2022, now immediate support around $1,860. The upside momentum also takes clues from the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator’s bullish signals and the firmer Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, placed at 14.

It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI line is near the overbought territory and also portrays a lower-high formation since early November, which in turn suggests a limited upside room for the XAU/USD.

As a result, June’s high near $1,880 and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level of the Gold’s March-September 2022 downturn, near $1,897, quickly followed by the $1,900 threshold, gain the market’s attention.

In a case where the Gold price remains firmer past $1,900, multiple hurdles surrounding $1,915, $1,935 and $1,965 could challenge the buyers before directing them to the $2,000 psychological magnet.

Alternatively, a downside break of the $1,860 resistance-turned-support could drag the XAU/USD to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,842. However, the 21-Day Moving Average (DMA) and August month’s high, respectively around $1,811 and $1,807, could restrict the Gold price downside afterward.

Overall, Gold seems to have a limited upside room even if the bullish bias remains intact.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 4, Jan

The daily chart for XAU/USD shows that it holds on to modest daily gains despite shedding $20 from its intraday top. The risk remains skewed to the upside according to technical readings, as gold remains above all of its moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) maintaining its bullish slope above the longer ones. At the same time, the Momentum indicator turned north within positive levels, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) advances at around 62, reflecting the dominant upward trend.

The near-term picture suggests XAU/USD could keep declining but also that the bullish trend remains firmly in place. Despite the sharp pullback, the metal remains above bullish moving averages, with the 20 SMA  providing dynamic support at around $1,819.30. Technical indicators are retreating sharply from overbought readings but still holding within positive levels and far from their midlines. A break through the mentioned 20 SMA could lead to a steeper decline, but buyers will likely take their chances at around $1,800.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook – 3, Jan

From a short-term technical perspective, Gold price is once again testing bearish commitments above the critical horizontal trendline (triangle) resistance at $1,825 this Tuesday.

Gold bulls need a daily closing above the horizontal trendline (triangle) resistance to confirm the ascending triangle breakout. Buyers will then aim for a fresh upswing toward the psychological $1,850 level. Ahead of that the $1,840 round figure could come into play.  

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is inching higher above the midline, backing the ongoing uptrend while the bullish crossovers continue to lend support to Gold bulls.

Alternatively, immediate support is seen at Friday’s low of $1,814. The next critical support awaits at the rising trendline (triangle support line) of $1,808. A breach of the latter could put the $1,800 threshold at risk, where the bullish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) hangs around.

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