Week ahead in FX (12, Sep – 16, Sep)

Major News and Economic Events:

U.S. inflation reports (Sept. 13, 12:30 pm GMT) – Dollar traders must be pretty eager to set their sights on Uncle Sam’s latest CPI readings since these could seal the deal for another 0.75% Fed rate hike.

Analysts are expecting to see a slowdown in headline inflation, though, as the August figure likely fell 0.1% after staying flat in July. This would mark its first negative reading since May 2020, which might suggest that U.S. inflation has peaked.

U.K. CPI (Sept. 14, 9:30 pm GMT) – The U.K. economy will also be releasing its inflation figures for August this week, and many are hoping that price pressures steadied at 10.1% year-over-year.

Another uptick in CPI would up the pressure on the BOE to accelerate their interest rate hikes in order to keep stagflation from worsening. The core CPI likely ticked higher from 6.2% to 6.3% for the month.

New Zealand Q2 GDP (Sept. 14, 10:45 pm GMT) – After reporting a 0.2% contraction for the first three months of this year, New Zealand’s economy is expected to rebound with a 1.0% GDP figure for Q2.

Retail sales reports – We’ll get a round of consumer spending data towards the end of the week, with the U.S., China and the U.K. printing their retail sales figures for August.

Source: forexfactory.com

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